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Do The Math
"We all need to understand the distribution system and the numbers before we start pointing fingers."
"We all need to understand the distribution system and the numbers before we start pointing fingers."
Editor:
I've just been reading "Grape Prices: higher, but not high enough?" (October 2005), in which Jim Gilmore of the North Coast Grape Growers is quoted as saying that distributors get 40% of the cost of a bottle of wine.
I teach wine marketing here at UC Davis, and for 22 years managed a small winery, Orleans Hill. I am plenty critical of distributors and the service they offer, which is primarily a warehousing and delivery service, rather than active marketing. But there is no way that distributors get 40% of the price of a bottle of wine.
Most retailers work on about a 30-35% margin on sell (unless they are a volume discounter), and most distributors work on about 28% to 30% margin on sell for lower volume, slower moving wines.
So let's work backwards on a bottle of wine that retails for $20.
The retailer takes a 33% margin on sell, or $6.60 a bottle, so he purchases the wine from the distributor for $20 minus $6.60, which equals $13.40.
Let's assume the wholesaler is working on a 28% margin on sell. He is selling the wine to the retailer at $13.40, and 28% of that is $3.75. So his cost is $13.40 less $3.75, or $9.65.
Now, he is buying the wine FOB from the producer, so the distributor has to pay the actual shipping costs from California to his warehouse and the state taxes. That can vary a lot, but let's say $4 shipping and $2 state taxes, or $6 a case, which works out to 50 cents a bottle. So he is buying the wine from the producer at $9.65 -- 50 cents = $9.15 a bottle, or about $110 a case FOB the winery.
Let's assume the winery is working on a 50% gross margin, meaning that half of the FOB price goes to cover the winery's sales and marketing, general administrative costs, interest, taxes, and some profit. That leaves another 50% to cover the cost of goods. In this case we have $55 to go to cover the cost of goods, which include grapes, oak of some sort, packaging materials, production labor costs, etc.
Let's say package costs and bottling labor come to $14 a case.
Let's say the winery is using used oak barrels and some oak chips, and has a cost of $6 a case for oak.
Let's assume a production cost of $2 a gallon, or $4.80 a case.
Added together that comes to $24.80, which leaves $30.20 a case to cover the grape costs. Assuming 65 cases to the ton, the winery can afford to pay just about $2,000 a ton for grapes that go into a bottle of wine that retails for $20 (the old 1% rule of thumb).
If you go back and review the math, you will see that the retailer received 33% of the revenue. The distributor received 18.75% of the retail price. Shipping and state taxes were $6, or 2.5% of the retail price. The winery kept $55 per case--or $4.58 a bottle--to cover operating costs, sales, state and federal income taxes and (hopefully) profit. That comes out to just under 23% of the retail price.
Grapes, at $30 a case, were about 12.5% of the retail price, which agrees with Gilmore's estimate.
I suppose the point of all the above is that we all need to understand the distribution system and the numbers before we start pointing fingers.
s/ James Lapsley, Ph.D.
Dept. of Viticulture and Enology UC Davis
via email
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